Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 8.112082e-05 9.858245e-05 0.000117 0.000139 0.000163 0.000189 0.000218
2024-10-27 6.121489e-05 8.352789e-05 0.000109 0.000140 0.000177 0.000217 0.000266
2024-11-03 4.426947e-05 6.711310e-05 0.000095 0.000130 0.000173 0.000223 0.000283
2024-11-10 3.874468e-05 6.393328e-05 0.000096 0.000138 0.000191 0.000253 0.000330
2024-11-17 3.033636e-05 5.519612e-05 0.000089 0.000134 0.000192 0.000262 0.000351
2024-11-24 2.288763e-05 4.670894e-05 0.000081 0.000129 0.000192 0.000269 0.000369
2024-12-01 1.769285e-05 4.042736e-05 0.000075 0.000125 0.000192 0.000276 0.000387
2024-12-08 1.365927e-05 3.530232e-05 0.000070 0.000122 0.000194 0.000286 0.000407
2024-12-15 1.007749e-05 3.005611e-05 0.000064 0.000117 0.000192 0.000290 0.000420
2024-12-22 7.777339e-06 2.668023e-05 0.000060 0.000116 0.000195 0.000300 0.000441
2024-12-29 6.040266e-06 2.393140e-05 0.000058 0.000115 0.000198 0.000310 0.000462
2025-01-05 4.236598e-06 2.044088e-05 0.000053 0.000111 0.000198 0.000314 0.000475
2025-01-12 2.168814e-06 1.585730e-05 0.000048 0.000107 0.000200 0.000329 0.000509
2025-01-19 1.148609e-06 1.323504e-05 0.000045 0.000109 0.000210 0.000354 0.000557
2025-01-26 2.798304e-07 9.002954e-06 0.000038 0.000100 0.000205 0.000355 0.000573
2025-02-02 1.456617e-07 8.508410e-06 0.000039 0.000107 0.000223 0.000391 0.000637
2025-02-09 1.052998e-08 6.290131e-06 0.000035 0.000103 0.000224 0.000402 0.000666
2025-02-16 NaN 4.347323e-06 0.000031 0.000099 0.000223 0.000411 0.000692
2025-02-23 NaN 3.020692e-06 0.000028 0.000095 0.000223 0.000421 0.000720
2025-03-02 NaN 2.082012e-06 0.000025 0.000093 0.000226 0.000434 0.000751
2025-03-09 NaN 1.257621e-06 0.000022 0.000089 0.000224 0.000441 0.000774
2025-03-16 NaN 8.188264e-07 0.000020 0.000088 0.000228 0.000455 0.000808
2025-03-23 NaN 5.177777e-07 0.000019 0.000087 0.000232 0.000471 0.000844